Belouizdad 2-3 El Bayadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.3
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
21%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
3.59
No
52%
1.24
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.26
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
5.44
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
73%
-19.8pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.9pp
21%
Away Win
7%
+13.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
24%
+24.7pp
52%
BTTS No
76%
-24.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belouizdad EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY El Bayadh EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.71/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/1.27
-2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +38%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belouizdad
3W-0D-1L
AWAY El Bayadh
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Belouizdad Belouizdad 1-0 HT 0-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
04.02.2024 El Bayadh El Bayadh 2-1 HT 2-0 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
06.06.2023 El Bayadh El Bayadh 1-3 HT 1-1 Belouizdad Belouizdad CZYR
05.11.2022 Belouizdad Belouizdad 1-0 HT 0-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
POST-MATCH Belouizdad vs El Bayadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Bayadh edged past Belouizdad 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Belouizdad at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Belouizdad had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Belouizdad and 0.75 for El Bayadh.

What was the final score of Belouizdad vs El Bayadh?

Belouizdad 2-3 El Bayadh in the Algeria - 1st Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belouizdad vs El Bayadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belouizdad win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Belouizdad 53%, draw 26%, El Bayadh 21%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Belouizdad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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