Telstar vs De Graafschap Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Telstar v De Graafschap — Team-Based Signals
Telstar vs De Graafschap Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
0-1
HT 0-0
Telstar
HOL2
0-1
HT 0-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
0-3
HT 0-3
De Graafschap
HOL2
1-1
HT 0-0
Telstar
HOL2
Telstar 2-2 De Graafschap — Actual Match Statistics
Telstar and De Graafschap shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was De Graafschap at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Telstar had 47% of the ball to De Graafschap's 53%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.93 to 1.20.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Telstar and 2.00 for De Graafschap.
What was the final score of Telstar vs De Graafschap?
Telstar 2-2 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Telstar vs De Graafschap?
Before kick-off our model rated an De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Telstar 34%, draw 22%, De Graafschap 44%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (De Graafschap) went the other way.