ADO Den Haag (K) 1-4 AZ (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-25% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +86% / +47%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY AZ (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.02.2024 ADO Den Haag (K) ADO Den Haag (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 AZ (K) AZ (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag (K)
1-4
AWAY AZ (K)
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 0
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag (K) vs AZ (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ (K) ran out comfortable winners over ADO Den Haag (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was ADO Den Haag (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, ADO Den Haag (K) had 48% of the ball to AZ (K)'s 52%, shots finished 12-14.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag (K) vs AZ (K)?

ADO Den Haag (K) 1-4 AZ (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag (K) vs AZ (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag (K) 47%, draw 28%, AZ (K) 26%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ADO Den Haag (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADO Den Haag (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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