Twente (K) 1-1 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.11
Draw
21%
8.11
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
No
64%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
30%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
85%
-20.8pp
21%
Draw
9%
+11.9pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.95/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/3.63
+11% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -34%
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
532 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
04.02.2024 Twente (K) Twente (K) 5-2 HT 4-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente (K)
1-1
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
395 Passes 264
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Twente (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente (K) and Excelsior Barendrecht (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Twente (K) at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Twente (K) had 58% of the ball to Excelsior Barendrecht (K)'s 42%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Twente (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

Twente (K) 1-1 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Twente (K) 64%, draw 21%, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 15%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Twente (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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