SV Spakenburg 4-1 BVV Barendrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
32%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.63
Over 2.5
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.0pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
20%
+12.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.9pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY BVV Barendrecht EU Bookmakers 23%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
3.43/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.48
+79% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / -24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Spakenburg
1W-0D-0L
AWAY BVV Barendrecht
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.20 xG 0.74
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 9
278 Passes 195
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
25 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2018 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 1-0 HT 0-0 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
POST-MATCH SV Spakenburg vs BVV Barendrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg swept aside BVV Barendrecht 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs BVV Barendrecht?

SV Spakenburg 4-1 BVV Barendrecht in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs BVV Barendrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 48%, draw 19%, BVV Barendrecht 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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