Rijnsburgse Boys 3-1 AFC Amsterdamsche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
43%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.3pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
43%
Away Win
32%
+10.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+1.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-1.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.0pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 36%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.39/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.47/0.84
-23% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +107%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys
1W-2D-0L
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.40 xG 2.72
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
157 Passes 325
61% Pass Accuracy 77%
9 Box Touches 43
16 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2024 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 1-1 HT 1-0 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys HOLTW
28.10.2023 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 1-1 HT 0-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
26.10.2019 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys
3-1
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Rijnsburgse Boys vs AFC Amsterdamsche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijnsburgse Boys beat AFC Amsterdamsche 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Amsterdamsche at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rijnsburgse Boys had 58% of the ball to AFC Amsterdamsche's 42%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rijnsburgse Boys had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rijnsburgse Boys and 0.67 for AFC Amsterdamsche.

What was the final score of Rijnsburgse Boys vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Rijnsburgse Boys 3-1 AFC Amsterdamsche in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijnsburgse Boys vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rijnsburgse Boys 37%, draw 20%, AFC Amsterdamsche 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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