Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 Kataller Toyama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
37%
Away Win
46%
-8.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -16%
1.38/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.20
+24% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
237 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses 17.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Kataller Toyama
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2024 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-1 HT 1-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
26.11.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-6 HT 0-2 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
09.04.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 2-0 HT 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
10.09.2022 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 2-1 HT 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
12.06.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-1 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
21.11.2021 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 2-1 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1-1
AWAY Kataller Toyama
34% Ball Possession 66%
3 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 12
185 Passes 394
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
4 Crosses 39
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kataller Toyama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Kataller Toyama shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 34% of the ball to Kataller Toyama's 66%, shots finished 3-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kataller Toyama led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 2.33 for Kataller Toyama.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kataller Toyama?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 Kataller Toyama in the Japan - J3 League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kataller Toyama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 33%, draw 30%, Kataller Toyama 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kataller Toyama), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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