Kataller Toyama 1-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.72
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
55%
-12.1pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.3pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 22%
+8% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.59/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.45
+0% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-6 HT 0-2 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
09.04.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 2-0 HT 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
10.09.2022 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 2-1 HT 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
12.06.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-1 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
21.11.2021 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 2-1 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
28.03.2021 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-1 HT 2-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
1-1
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama and Tegevajaro Miyazaki shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Kataller Toyama at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 48% of the ball to Tegevajaro Miyazaki's 52%, shots finished 11-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kataller Toyama had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Kataller Toyama and 0.67 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Kataller Toyama 1-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the Japan - J3 League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 43%, draw 31%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kataller Toyama), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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