Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 Fukushima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.55/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.28
+17% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Fukushima United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.08.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 2-1 HT 1-1 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
08.04.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-1 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
06.11.2022 Fukushima United Fukushima United 2-0 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
19.03.2022 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-5 HT 0-3 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
12.09.2021 Fukushima United Fukushima United 2-1 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
30.05.2021 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 HT 0-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
0-1
AWAY Fukushima United
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Azul Claro Numazu vs Fukushima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fukushima United nicked a narrow win over Azul Claro Numazu 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Azul Claro Numazu at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Azul Claro Numazu had 50% of the ball to Fukushima United's 50%, shots finished 11-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fukushima United led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Azul Claro Numazu and 2.17 for Fukushima United.

What was the final score of Azul Claro Numazu vs Fukushima United?

Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 Fukushima United in the Japan - J3 League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azul Claro Numazu vs Fukushima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Azul Claro Numazu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Azul Claro Numazu 42%, draw 28%, Fukushima United 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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