Gainare Tottori 0-3 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
23%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+5.5pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.5pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-11.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 57%
+3% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.48/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.66
+28% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainare Tottori
0-3
AWAY Omiya Ardija
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gainare Tottori vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija swept aside Gainare Tottori 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Omiya Ardija as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gainare Tottori had 57% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 43%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of Gainare Tottori vs Omiya Ardija?

Gainare Tottori 0-3 Omiya Ardija in the Japan - J3 League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainare Tottori vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gainare Tottori 28%, draw 30%, Omiya Ardija 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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