America de Cali 2-1 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.45
Over 2.5
30%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.33
No
65%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.5pp
70%
Under 2.5
65%
+5.3pp
30%
Over 2.5
35%
-5.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
39%
-4.2pp
65%
BTTS No
61%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.44/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.25
+6% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 72%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
16.5 Crosses 14.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Millonarios
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.90 xG 1.18
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
347 Passes 296
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
04.12.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
20.11.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-1 HT 0-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
31.10.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 1-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
04.06.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-1 HT 1-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
01.06.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 0-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
2-1
AWAY Millonarios
1.41 xG 0.57
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
274 Passes 281
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 8
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali squeezed past Millonarios 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, America de Cali had 49% of the ball to Millonarios's 51%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.41 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for America de Cali and 1.00 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Millonarios?

America de Cali 2-1 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 45%, draw 30%, Millonarios 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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