SS Reyes 0-1 Rayo Vallecano II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.34
Draw
15%
4.49
Away
13%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.03
Over 2.5
59%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
28%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
70%
+2.3pp
15%
Draw
19%
-4.1pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+1.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
45%
-4.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
55%
+4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Reyes EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Vallecano II EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.78/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/3.51
-6% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -52%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Reyes
0-1
AWAY Rayo Vallecano II
61% Ball Possession 39%
26 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SS Reyes vs Rayo Vallecano II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Vallecano II nicked a narrow win over SS Reyes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had SS Reyes at 72% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SS Reyes had 61% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano II's 39%, shots finished 26-12.

What was the final score of SS Reyes vs Rayo Vallecano II?

SS Reyes 0-1 Rayo Vallecano II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Reyes vs Rayo Vallecano II?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Reyes win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split SS Reyes 72%, draw 15%, Rayo Vallecano II 13%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (SS Reyes), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SS Reyes) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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