Colonia Moscardo 2-2 Conquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Conquense EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.18/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.27
-4% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colonia Moscardo
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Conquense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 4
01.03.2025 Conquense Conquense 2-1 HT 2-0 Colonia Moscardo İS4
19.10.2024 Colonia Moscardo 0-2 HT 0-1 Conquense Conquense İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colonia Moscardo
2-2
AWAY Conquense
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Colonia Moscardo vs Conquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colonia Moscardo and Conquense shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Colonia Moscardo had 50% of the ball to Conquense's 50%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Conquense led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Colonia Moscardo and 2.00 for Conquense.

What was the final score of Colonia Moscardo vs Conquense?

Colonia Moscardo 2-2 Conquense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colonia Moscardo vs Conquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colonia Moscardo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Colonia Moscardo 38%, draw 29%, Conquense 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Colonia Moscardo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colonia Moscardo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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