La Serena 1-6 Deportes Limache — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Serena EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Limache EU Bookmakers 30%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
3.07/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.50
+117% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
295 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Serena
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportes Limache
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.27 xG 1.30
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
284 Passes 238
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.09.2025 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 2-0 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİK
22.06.2025 La Serena La Serena 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Serena
1-6
AWAY Deportes Limache
0.88 xG 2.61
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 1
324 Passes 306
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH La Serena vs Deportes Limache
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Limache cruised past La Serena 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Deportes Limache made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, La Serena had 52% of the ball to Deportes Limache's 48%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 0.88 to 2.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportes Limache led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for La Serena and 1.50 for Deportes Limache.

What was the final score of La Serena vs Deportes Limache?

La Serena 1-6 Deportes Limache in the Chile - Cup on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Serena vs Deportes Limache?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Serena win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split La Serena 40%, draw 24%, Deportes Limache 36%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (La Serena), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Serena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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