Seattle Sounders 1-0 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.68
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.21
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
17%
4.55
X/2
8%
9.2
X/X
9%
6.11
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.05
2/2
10%
6.48
2/X
8%
14.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.05 — our 11% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.83/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.75
-6% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
22.5 Crosses 17.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seattle Sounders
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Real Salt Lake
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.06 xG 1.24
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
379 Passes 375
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-0 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
30.05.2024 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
16.05.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-0 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
23.07.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-0 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders CONLK
30.04.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-0 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
05.03.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seattle Sounders
1-0
AWAY Real Salt Lake
2.33 xG 0.58
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
512 Passes 391
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seattle Sounders squeezed past Real Salt Lake 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Seattle Sounders as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Seattle Sounders had 55% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 45%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.33 to 0.58 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Seattle Sounders's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Salt Lake led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Seattle Sounders and 1.33 for Real Salt Lake.

What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake?

Seattle Sounders 1-0 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 53%, draw 23%, Real Salt Lake 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seattle Sounders) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Seattle Sounders) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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