Real Salt Lake 2-0 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 16 May 2024

Real Salt Lake
2-0 HT 1-0
Seattle Sounders
📅16/05/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Real Salt Lake vs Seattle Sounders Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 32% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.2
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.45
X/1
22%
4.04
X/2
9%
9.39
X/X
8%
5.23
2/1
6%
22.7
2/2
13%
7.12
2/X
9%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Salt Lake v Seattle Sounders — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.51/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.28
+5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
20.0 Crosses 17.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Real Salt Lake vs Seattle Sounders Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Salt Lake
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Seattle Sounders
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.05 xG 1.34
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
310 Passes 470
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.07.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-0 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders CONLK
30.04.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-0 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
05.03.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
15.08.2022 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
06.03.2022 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-0 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
24.11.2021 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD

Real Salt Lake 2-0 Seattle Sounders — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Salt Lake
2-0
AWAY Seattle Sounders
2.17 xG 0.54
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 6
451 Passes 241
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
37 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Salt Lake vs Seattle Sounders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Salt Lake got the better of Seattle Sounders 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Salt Lake as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Salt Lake had 62% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 38%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.17 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Salt Lake had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Salt Lake and 0.50 for Seattle Sounders.

What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Seattle Sounders?

Real Salt Lake 2-0 Seattle Sounders in the USA - Major League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Salt Lake vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Salt Lake win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Real Salt Lake 46%, draw 26%, Seattle Sounders 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Salt Lake), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Salt Lake) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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