ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-4 Vanraure Hachinohe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.6pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.1pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanraure Hachinohe EU Bookmakers 50%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.00/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.89
-15% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.9 Crosses 20.9
0.8 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vanraure Hachinohe
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
74% Ball Possession 26%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
527 Passes 118
85% Pass Accuracy 59%
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.06.2025 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe 2-0 HT 1-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0-4
AWAY Vanraure Hachinohe
65% Ball Possession 35%
6 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
458 Passes 187
81% Pass Accuracy 63%
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Vanraure Hachinohe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanraure Hachinohe swept aside ThespaKusatsu Gunma 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vanraure Hachinohe as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 65% of the ball to Vanraure Hachinohe's 35%, shots finished 6-17.

What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Vanraure Hachinohe?

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-4 Vanraure Hachinohe in the Japan - J3 League on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Vanraure Hachinohe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vanraure Hachinohe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 28%, draw 31%, Vanraure Hachinohe 41%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vanraure Hachinohe) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vanraure Hachinohe) ✗ Under 2.5
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