Gainare Tottori 2-1 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.46/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.33
+12% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.8 Crosses 17.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainare Tottori
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sagamihara
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
473 Passes 340
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2025 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-0 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
24.11.2024 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-0 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
19.05.2024 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-3 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
08.10.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
04.03.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 2-3 HT 0-2 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
03.09.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 2-2 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainare Tottori
2-1
AWAY Sagamihara
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
323 Passes 200
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
19 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gainare Tottori vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainare Tottori edged past Sagamihara 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gainare Tottori as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gainare Tottori had 59% of the ball to Sagamihara's 41%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sagamihara led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gainare Tottori and 1.50 for Sagamihara.

What was the final score of Gainare Tottori vs Sagamihara?

Gainare Tottori 2-1 Sagamihara in the Japan - J3 League on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainare Tottori vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainare Tottori win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gainare Tottori 45%, draw 26%, Sagamihara 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gainare Tottori), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gainare Tottori) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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