Sagamihara 1-0 Gainare Tottori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -14%
1.26/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.76
-19% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 12.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gainare Tottori
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
370 Passes 528
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.11.2024 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-0 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
19.05.2024 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-3 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
08.10.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
04.03.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 2-3 HT 0-2 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
03.09.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 2-2 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
25.06.2022 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-2 HT 2-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
1-0
AWAY Gainare Tottori
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 9
310 Passes 418
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Gainare Tottori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara squeezed past Gainare Tottori 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Sagamihara made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sagamihara had 44% of the ball to Gainare Tottori's 56%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sagamihara had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sagamihara and 1.17 for Gainare Tottori.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Gainare Tottori?

Sagamihara 1-0 Gainare Tottori in the Japan - J3 League on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Gainare Tottori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 40%, draw 27%, Gainare Tottori 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sagamihara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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