Fukushima United 2-4 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 6 May 2025

Fukushima United
2-4 HT 0-2
ThespaKusatsu Gunma
📅06/05/2025 · 🕒07:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J3 League – 2025

Fukushima United vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fukushima United v ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
1.29/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/3.00
+8% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -61%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
10.3 Crosses 19.5
0.9 Yellow Cards 0.0

Fukushima United 2-4 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fukushima United
2-4
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 8
335 Passes 456
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
6 Crosses 38
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fukushima United vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ThespaKusatsu Gunma got the better of Fukushima United 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; ThespaKusatsu Gunma found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Fukushima United had 44% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 56%, shots finished 12-15.

What was the final score of Fukushima United vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Fukushima United 2-4 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J3 League on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fukushima United vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fukushima United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fukushima United 39%, draw 24%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fukushima United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fukushima United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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