Tochigi SC 1-0 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.6pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 26%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.59
-35% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses 14.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
1-0
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
308 Passes 332
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs Parceiro Nagano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi SC squeezed past Parceiro Nagano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tochigi SC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 50% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 50%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs Parceiro Nagano?

Tochigi SC 1-0 Parceiro Nagano in the Japan - J3 League on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs Parceiro Nagano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tochigi SC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 48%, draw 25%, Parceiro Nagano 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tochigi SC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tochigi SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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