Sagamihara 1-0 Gainare Tottori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.05/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.57
-28% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.3 Crosses 11.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gainare Tottori
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.05.2024 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-3 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
08.10.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
04.03.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 2-3 HT 0-2 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
03.09.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 2-2 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
25.06.2022 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-2 HT 2-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
28.11.2020 Sagamihara Sagamihara 3-2 HT 1-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
1-0
AWAY Gainare Tottori
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 4
370 Passes 528
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Gainare Tottori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara edged past Gainare Tottori 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Sagamihara made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sagamihara had 43% of the ball to Gainare Tottori's 57%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sagamihara had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sagamihara and 1.50 for Gainare Tottori.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Gainare Tottori?

Sagamihara 1-0 Gainare Tottori in the Japan - J3 League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Gainare Tottori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 38%, draw 26%, Gainare Tottori 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sagamihara) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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