Atletico Tembetary 2-1 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.09
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
63%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
17%
+0.3pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.4pp
63%
Away Win
59%
+4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.0pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tembetary EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 62%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.02/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.79
+21% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
241 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 451 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tembetary
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Libertad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.08.2025 Libertad Libertad 3-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tembetary Atletico Tembetary PAR
05.05.2025 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tembetary Atletico Tembetary PAR
23.02.2025 Atletico Tembetary Atletico Tembetary 1-2 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
01.12.2021 Atletico Tembetary Atletico Tembetary 0-2 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PARK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tembetary
2-1
AWAY Libertad
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Tembetary vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tembetary edged past Libertad 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Libertad at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Atletico Tembetary had 55% of the ball to Libertad's 45%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atletico Tembetary and 1.75 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Atletico Tembetary vs Libertad?

Atletico Tembetary 2-1 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tembetary vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tembetary 17%, draw 20%, Libertad 63%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Libertad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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