Sportivo Ameliano 1-1 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
0.83/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/0.83
-7% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
11.0 Crosses 9.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Club Guarani
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.83 xG 0.44
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
262 Passes 304
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.07.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 4-1 HT 2-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
19.05.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-3 HT 0-3 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
11.03.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
12.10.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
08.08.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-2 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
04.05.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-3 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
1-1
AWAY Club Guarani
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano and Club Guarani couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Club Guarani at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 52% of the ball to Club Guarani's 48%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 1.83 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Guarani?

Sportivo Ameliano 1-1 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 27%, draw 28%, Club Guarani 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club Guarani) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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