Club Guarani 4-1 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 31 Jul 2025

📅31/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.0pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +19%
1.33/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.13
+10% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 70%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
21.0 Crosses 28.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Guarani
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.44 xG 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
304 Passes 262
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-3 HT 0-3 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
11.03.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
12.10.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
08.08.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-2 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
04.05.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-3 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
11.02.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Guarani
4-1
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani cruised past Sportivo Ameliano 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Club Guarani found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Club Guarani had 59% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 41%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Club Guarani and 1.33 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Club Guarani 4-1 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 36%, draw 30%, Sportivo Ameliano 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Guarani) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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