Club Guarani 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.3pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.33/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.13
+7% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
21.0 Crosses 28.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Guarani
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.44 xG 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
304 Passes 262
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.08.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-2 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
04.05.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-3 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
11.02.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
02.11.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
20.08.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-3 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
17.04.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-1 HT 0-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Guarani
1-1
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani and Sportivo Ameliano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Club Guarani had 42% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 58%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Club Guarani and 1.00 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Club Guarani 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 39%, draw 29%, Sportivo Ameliano 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Club Guarani), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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