Club Guarani 1-3 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 19 May 2025

📅19/05/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.7pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.0pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +19%
1.33/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.13
+3% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
21.0 Crosses 28.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Guarani
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.44 xG 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
304 Passes 262
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.03.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
12.10.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
08.08.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-2 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
04.05.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-3 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
11.02.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
02.11.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Guarani
1-3
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano beat Club Guarani 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Sportivo Ameliano made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Club Guarani had 60% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 40%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Club Guarani and 0.83 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Club Guarani 1-3 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 38%, draw 24%, Sportivo Ameliano 38%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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