Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +20%
1.12/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.77
-3% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +53%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
Crosses 9.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Club Guarani
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 0.44
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
262 Passes 304
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.10.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
08.08.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-2 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
04.05.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-3 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
11.02.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
02.11.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
20.08.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-3 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
2-0
AWAY Club Guarani
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano saw off Club Guarani 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sportivo Ameliano found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 52% of the ball to Club Guarani's 48%, shots finished 5-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 1.00 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Guarani?

Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Ameliano win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 37%, draw 29%, Club Guarani 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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