Sportivo Luqueno 2-1 Nacional Asuncion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 40%
-13% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -15%
0.92/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.09
-21% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
265 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 13.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-2 HT 2-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
13.08.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
04.05.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
12.02.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
02.12.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 HT 1-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
16.09.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
2-1
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno squeezed past Nacional Asuncion 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Sportivo Luqueno made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 45% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 55%, shots finished 7-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.00 for Nacional Asuncion.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion?

Sportivo Luqueno 2-1 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 34%, draw 27%, Nacional Asuncion 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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