Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sportivo Luqueno v Nacional Asuncion — Team-Based Signals
Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sportivo Luqueno
PAR
1-1
HT 1-1
Nacional Asuncion
PAR
2-1
HT 0-0
Sportivo Luqueno
PAR
0-1
HT 0-0
Nacional Asuncion
PAR
Sportivo Luqueno 2-2 Nacional Asuncion — Actual Match Statistics
Sportivo Luqueno and Nacional Asuncion couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 41% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 59%, shots finished 9-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Asuncion led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 0.83 for Nacional Asuncion.
What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion?
Sportivo Luqueno 2-2 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 33%, draw 30%, Nacional Asuncion 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.