24Erzincanspor 2-0 GMG Kastamonuspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
45%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
32%
-6.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+4.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 24Erzincanspor EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 45%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.10/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.22
-1% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / -36%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 24Erzincanspor
0W-2D-1L
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
4 Corners 7
30.11.2024 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 2-2 HT 0-1 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor T2L-B
03.09.2023 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 2-0 HT 1-0 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor S2-K
30.10.2019 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 1-1 HT 0-0 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor TÜK
POST-MATCH 24Erzincanspor vs GMG Kastamonuspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

24Erzincanspor got the better of GMG Kastamonuspor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was GMG Kastamonuspor at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, GMG Kastamonuspor led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for 24Erzincanspor and 1.67 for GMG Kastamonuspor.

What was the final score of 24Erzincanspor vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

24Erzincanspor 2-0 GMG Kastamonuspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 24Erzincanspor vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an GMG Kastamonuspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split 24Erzincanspor 26%, draw 29%, GMG Kastamonuspor 45%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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