Texoma 1-0 Richmond Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
15%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+3.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.5pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Texoma EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.35/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.11
+45% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
13.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
11.6 Crosses 19.3
4.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Texoma
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Richmond Kickers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.75 xG 0.89
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
247 Passes 387
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 24
5 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.06.2025 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-2 HT 1-1 Texoma USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Texoma
1-0
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.10 xG 2.34
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
347 Passes 376
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 37
11 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Texoma vs Richmond Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Texoma edged past Richmond Kickers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Richmond Kickers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Texoma had 48% of the ball to Richmond Kickers's 52%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.10 to 2.34 — on chances, Richmond Kickers could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Texoma vs Richmond Kickers?

Texoma 1-0 Richmond Kickers in the USA - USL League 1 on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Texoma vs Richmond Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Richmond Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Texoma 32%, draw 24%, Richmond Kickers 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Richmond Kickers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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