Forward Madison 2-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
39%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
39%
Away Win
29%
+9.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.13/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.30
-40% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
17.2 Crosses 15.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forward Madison
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.64 xG 1.28
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
380 Passes 208
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
07.08.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-1 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
01.06.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-1 HT 1-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USLKP
13.10.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
08.09.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-3 HT 1-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
03.09.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-1 HT 1-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
10.08.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-0 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forward Madison
2-1
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
0.62 xG 0.78
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
309 Passes 245
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Forward Madison vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison nicked a narrow win over Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Forward Madison found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Forward Madison had 54% of the ball to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 46%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.62 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forward Madison had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Forward Madison and 1.33 for Chattanooga Red Wolves.

What was the final score of Forward Madison vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Forward Madison 2-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - USL League 1 on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chattanooga Red Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 35%, draw 26%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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