Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-1 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 7 Aug 2025

📅07/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.34/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.27
+10% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
17.1 Crosses 14.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Forward Madison
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.26 xG 1.94
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
241 Passes 345
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
01.06.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-1 HT 1-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USLKP
13.10.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
08.09.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-3 HT 1-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
03.09.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-1 HT 1-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
10.08.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-0 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
08.06.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-0 HT 2-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
2-1
AWAY Forward Madison
1.75 xG 1.45
27% Ball Possession 73%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
133 Passes 499
66% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chattanooga Red Wolves nicked a narrow win over Forward Madison 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Chattanooga Red Wolves made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Chattanooga Red Wolves had 27% of the ball to Forward Madison's 73%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.75 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forward Madison led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chattanooga Red Wolves and 1.33 for Forward Madison.

What was the final score of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison?

Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-1 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 07/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chattanooga Red Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga Red Wolves 39%, draw 25%, Forward Madison 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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