Forward Madison 2-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 13 Oct 2024

Forward Madison
2-1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2024

Forward Madison vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.81
No
42%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.0pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.2pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.3pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forward Madison v Chattanooga Red Wolves — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -21%
1.72/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.45
-27% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
15.7 Crosses 20.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Forward Madison vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forward Madison
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.65 xG 1.21
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 Passes 267
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.09.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-3 HT 1-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
03.09.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-1 HT 1-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
10.08.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-0 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
08.06.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-0 HT 2-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
11.09.2022 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-5 HT 1-4 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
14.08.2022 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-1 HT 0-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
POST-MATCH Forward Madison vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison squeezed past Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Forward Madison as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chattanooga Red Wolves led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Forward Madison and 2.00 for Chattanooga Red Wolves.

What was the final score of Forward Madison vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Forward Madison 2-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - USL League 1 on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 53%, draw 25%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forward Madison), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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