Spokane Velocity 2-3 Greenville Triumph — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+2.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 45%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +10%
1.26/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.18
-26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
12.0 Crosses 20.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spokane Velocity
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
10.03.2024 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 3-1 HT 1-1 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
POST-MATCH Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenville Triumph edged past Spokane Velocity 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Greenville Triumph as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph?

Spokane Velocity 2-3 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Spokane Velocity 33%, draw 23%, Greenville Triumph 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenville Triumph), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Greenville Triumph) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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