Union Omaha 2-1 Lexington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
14%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
19%
Away Win
19%
-0.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Lexington EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -14%
1.76/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.78
+1% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
367 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
21.5 Crosses 16.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Lexington
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.57 xG 0.82
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
375 Passes 219
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.07.2024 Lexington Lexington 2-4 HT 0-4 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
03.08.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-0 HT 1-0 Lexington Lexington USL1
23.07.2023 Lexington Lexington 3-0 HT 2-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Lexington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha nicked a narrow win over Lexington 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Union Omaha had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Union Omaha and 1.67 for Lexington.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Lexington?

Union Omaha 2-1 Lexington in the USA - USL League 1 on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Lexington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 57%, draw 24%, Lexington 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL1 More USA - USL League 1
13 Oct 2024
00:00 Charlotte Independence vs Northern Colorado Analysis →
00:00 Forward Madison vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Analysis →
00:00 Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph Analysis →