Charlotte Independence 1-2 Northern Colorado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.3pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.8pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Northern Colorado EU Bookmakers 56%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.00/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.81
+42% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / +49%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 79%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
13.7 Crosses 17.4
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte Independence
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Northern Colorado
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.96 xG 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
299 Passes 253
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.07.2024 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
04.09.2023 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 4-2 HT 1-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
30.07.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 4-1 HT 2-0 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
05.07.2023 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 3-2 HT 2-2 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
18.07.2022 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 3-1 HT 3-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
19.05.2022 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-2 HT 1-1 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
POST-MATCH Charlotte Independence vs Northern Colorado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northern Colorado nicked a narrow win over Charlotte Independence 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Northern Colorado as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Northern Colorado led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Charlotte Independence and 2.17 for Northern Colorado.

What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Northern Colorado?

Charlotte Independence 1-2 Northern Colorado in the USA - USL League 1 on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Northern Colorado?

Before kick-off our model rated an Northern Colorado win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 24%, draw 31%, Northern Colorado 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northern Colorado), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Northern Colorado) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL1 More USA - USL League 1
13 Oct 2024
00:00 Union Omaha vs Lexington Analysis →
00:00 Forward Madison vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Analysis →
00:00 Spokane Velocity vs Greenville Triumph Analysis →