Naples 2-1 Tormenta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 7 Aug 2025

📅07/08/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
23%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naples EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Tormenta EU Bookmakers 31%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
2.08/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.33
+32% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
13.0 Crosses 15.0
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naples
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tormenta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.11 xG 0.91
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
315 Passes 281
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 5
26.06.2025 Tormenta Tormenta 2-1 HT 1-1 Naples USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naples
2-1
AWAY Tormenta
2.43 xG 1.37
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
250 Passes 372
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Naples vs Tormenta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naples nicked a narrow win over Tormenta 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Naples as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Naples had 41% of the ball to Tormenta's 59%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.43 to 1.37.

What was the final score of Naples vs Tormenta?

Naples 2-1 Tormenta in the USA - USL League 1 on 07/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naples vs Tormenta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Naples 49%, draw 28%, Tormenta 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naples), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naples) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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