Bayern München (K) 3-0 Valerenga (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 12 Nov 2024

📅12/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.16
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
3.59
Over
60%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
15%
2-3
38%
4-5
32%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Bayern München (K) win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
82%
-21.4pp
21%
Draw
11%
+10.1pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+11.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
24%
+15.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
76%
-15.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.04/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.99
-34% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
425 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
11.7 Crosses 14.0
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München (K)
3-0
AWAY Valerenga (K)
1.93 xG 0.47
76% Ball Possession 24%
15 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 0
629 Passes 155
89% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayern München (K) vs Valerenga (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) ran out comfortable winners over Valerenga (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bayern München (K) had 76% of the ball to Valerenga (K)'s 24%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.93 to 0.47.

What was the final score of Bayern München (K) vs Valerenga (K)?

Bayern München (K) 3-0 Valerenga (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München (K) vs Valerenga (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Bayern München (K) 60%, draw 21%, Valerenga (K) 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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