Juventus (K) 0-4 Arsenal (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 12 Nov 2024

📅12/11/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
50%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.1
Over
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.73
No
40%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
43%
4-5
25%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
51%
Away Win
58%
-7.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
54%
+6.5pp
40%
BTTS No
46%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.32/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.53
+16% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +116%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 84%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.4 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Arsenal (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.49 xG 1.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
393 Passes 403
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2022 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) ŞMP-K
24.11.2022 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus (K)
0-4
AWAY Arsenal (K)
1.06 xG 2.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
283 Passes 450
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juventus (K) vs Arsenal (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) cruised past Juventus (K) 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Juventus (K) had 40% of the ball to Arsenal (K)'s 60%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.06 to 2.50.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Juventus (K) and 1.00 for Arsenal (K).

What was the final score of Juventus (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

Juventus (K) 0-4 Arsenal (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Juventus (K) 25%, draw 25%, Arsenal (K) 51%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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