Argentinos Juniors 1-0 Banfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 12 Nov 2024

📅12/11/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.39
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.43
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.9
X/1
14%
3.77
X/2
8%
9.0
X/X
17%
3.82
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
12%
8.12
2/X
5%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.2pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Banfield EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.50/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.25
+6% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +13%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 67%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
21.8 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Argentinos Juniors
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Banfield
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.60 xG 0.89
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
394 Passes 225
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.02.2024 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 4-2 HT 2-1 Banfield Banfield ARJ
16.09.2023 Banfield Banfield 0-1 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
03.07.2023 Banfield Banfield 1-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
26.07.2022 Banfield Banfield 1-1 HT 1-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
02.04.2022 Banfield Banfield 0-2 HT 0-2 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
14.08.2021 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-0 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Argentinos Juniors
1-0
AWAY Banfield
1.91 xG 0.84
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
357 Passes 184
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Argentinos Juniors vs Banfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Argentinos Juniors nicked a narrow win over Banfield 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Argentinos Juniors as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Argentinos Juniors had 62% of the ball to Banfield's 38%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.91 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Argentinos Juniors had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Argentinos Juniors and 0.67 for Banfield.

What was the final score of Argentinos Juniors vs Banfield?

Argentinos Juniors 1-0 Banfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Argentinos Juniors vs Banfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Argentinos Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Argentinos Juniors 45%, draw 29%, Banfield 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Argentinos Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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