Atletico Tigre 0-4 Defensa y Justicia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 12 Nov 2024

📅12/11/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.47
6+ Goals
8%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.31
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
16%
4.71
X/2
14%
6.03
X/X
10%
4.07
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
11%
4.68
2/X
12%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.22/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.38
-16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
21.6 Crosses 16.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tigre
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 1.24
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
258 Passes 318
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.02.2024 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
20.09.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
03.07.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
13.08.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
09.09.2021 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJK
27.11.2018 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tigre
0-4
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
0.88 xG 2.69
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
328 Passes 454
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Tigre vs Defensa y Justicia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensa y Justicia swept aside Atletico Tigre 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Defensa y Justicia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Tigre had 44% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 56%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.88 to 2.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Atletico Tigre and 1.00 for Defensa y Justicia.

What was the final score of Atletico Tigre vs Defensa y Justicia?

Atletico Tigre 0-4 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tigre vs Defensa y Justicia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tigre win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tigre 39%, draw 29%, Defensa y Justicia 32%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Tigre), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Tigre) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
12 Nov 2024
00:45 Lanus vs Platense Analysis →
03:00 Argentinos Juniors vs Banfield Analysis →
03:00 Belgrano Cordoba vs Instituto Cordoba Analysis →