Atletico Tigre 0-1 Defensa y Justicia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.51
Over 2.5
34%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
5.43
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.66
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
12%
4.76
X/2
11%
5.58
X/X
16%
3.5
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
12%
4.57
2/X
8%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.7pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.6pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +11%
1.23/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.28
-24% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 73%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
21.9 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tigre
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 1.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
292 Passes 300
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
03.07.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
13.08.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
09.09.2021 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJK
27.11.2018 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
20.02.2018 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-1 HT 0-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tigre
0-1
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
1.32 xG 2.13
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
202 Passes 349
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 47
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Tigre vs Defensa y Justicia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensa y Justicia nicked a narrow win over Atletico Tigre 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Defensa y Justicia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Tigre had 39% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 61%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.32 to 2.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atletico Tigre and 1.00 for Defensa y Justicia.

What was the final score of Atletico Tigre vs Defensa y Justicia?

Atletico Tigre 0-1 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tigre vs Defensa y Justicia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tigre win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tigre 39%, draw 31%, Defensa y Justicia 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Tigre) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Tigre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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