Independiente 1-0 Rosario Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.67
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.81
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
15.3
X/1
9%
3.97
X/2
11%
7.2
X/X
14%
3.62
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
12%
6.39
2/X
7%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.5pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.29/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.38
-10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 69%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
20.5 Crosses 19.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rosario Central
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.71 xG 1.18
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
341 Passes 230
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
13.04.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
16.07.2022 Independiente Independiente 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
23.04.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
15.08.2021 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-2 HT 0-2 Independiente Independiente ARJ
01.02.2020 Independiente Independiente 5-0 HT 3-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente
1-0
AWAY Rosario Central
1.21 xG 0.70
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
319 Passes 239
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente vs Rosario Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente edged past Rosario Central 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Independiente had 55% of the ball to Rosario Central's 45%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.21 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Independiente and 1.00 for Rosario Central.

What was the final score of Independiente vs Rosario Central?

Independiente 1-0 Rosario Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente vs Rosario Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Independiente 42%, draw 29%, Rosario Central 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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