Gimnasia La Plata 3-1 Huracan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.91
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.8
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
12%
4.83
X/2
15%
5.42
X/X
13%
3.44
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
9%
4.47
2/X
7%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.9pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.2pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.6pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Huracan EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -18%
1.11/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.01
-7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
257 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
20.8 Crosses 20.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Huracan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.82 xG 0.77
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
238 Passes 259
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2023 Huracan Huracan 2-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
14.06.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 HT 0-0 Huracan Huracan ARJ
31.07.2022 Huracan Huracan 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
28.08.2021 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-0 HT 0-0 Huracan Huracan ARJ
30.03.2021 Huracan Huracan 1-1 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
06.12.2020 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-0 HT 0-0 Huracan Huracan ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
3-1
AWAY Huracan
2.45 xG 0.93
47% Ball Possession 53%
28 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
250 Passes 296
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
39 Box Touches 23
32 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs Huracan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia La Plata got the better of Huracan 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Gimnasia La Plata found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 47% of the ball to Huracan's 53%, shots finished 28-11, expected goals 2.45 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimnasia La Plata had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 0.50 for Huracan.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs Huracan?

Gimnasia La Plata 3-1 Huracan in the Argentina - Premier League on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs Huracan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia La Plata win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 40%, draw 28%, Huracan 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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