USM El Harrach 3-0 Oued Magrane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 12 Nov 2024

📅12/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
3.08
No
63%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
USM El Harrach win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
72%
-5.9pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
12%
Away Win
9%
+3.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
28%
+8.9pp
63%
BTTS No
72%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM El Harrach EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Oued Magrane EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.49/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.56
-18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -38%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM El Harrach
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Oued Magrane
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
18.05.2024 USM El Harrach USM El Harrach 1-0 HT 1-0 Oued Magrane CZYR2
POST-MATCH USM El Harrach vs Oued Magrane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM El Harrach cruised past Oued Magrane 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had USM El Harrach as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

What was the final score of USM El Harrach vs Oued Magrane?

USM El Harrach 3-0 Oued Magrane in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM El Harrach vs Oued Magrane?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM El Harrach win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split USM El Harrach 66%, draw 22%, Oued Magrane 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM El Harrach), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM El Harrach) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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