USM El Harrach 1-0 Oued Magrane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.29
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.81
No
62%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
74%
-7.9pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.2pp
10%
Away Win
7%
+2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
32%
+6.4pp
62%
BTTS No
68%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM El Harrach EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Oued Magrane EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.75/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/2.99
-12% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -36%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
465 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
POST-MATCH USM El Harrach vs Oued Magrane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM El Harrach squeezed past Oued Magrane 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had USM El Harrach as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

What was the final score of USM El Harrach vs Oued Magrane?

USM El Harrach 1-0 Oued Magrane in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM El Harrach vs Oued Magrane?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM El Harrach win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split USM El Harrach 66%, draw 24%, Oued Magrane 10%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM El Harrach), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM El Harrach) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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