Mostaganem 4-1 CR Mechria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.22
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
13%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.91
Over 2.5
38%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
No
65%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
43%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
78%
-9.7pp
19%
Draw
13%
+5.6pp
13%
Away Win
9%
+4.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
48%
+13.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
52%
-13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY CR Mechria EU Bookmakers 12%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.26/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.49
+8% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +17%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
482 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mostaganem
0W-0D-1L
AWAY CR Mechria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
16.01.2024 CR Mechria CR Mechria 3-1 HT 1-1 Mostaganem Mostaganem CZYR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostaganem
4-1
AWAY CR Mechria
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mostaganem vs CR Mechria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mostaganem cruised past CR Mechria 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mostaganem as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mostaganem had 58% of the ball to CR Mechria's 42%, shots finished 19-3.

What was the final score of Mostaganem vs CR Mechria?

Mostaganem 4-1 CR Mechria in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostaganem vs CR Mechria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mostaganem win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Mostaganem 68%, draw 19%, CR Mechria 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mostaganem) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mostaganem) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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