Lorca Deportiva 1-0 Puente Genil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Nov 2025

📅12/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.3pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lorca Deportiva EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Puente Genil EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lorca Deportiva
1-0
AWAY Puente Genil
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lorca Deportiva vs Puente Genil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorca Deportiva nicked a narrow win over Puente Genil 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lorca Deportiva as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Lorca Deportiva had 48% of the ball to Puente Genil's 52%, shots finished 6-6.

What was the final score of Lorca Deportiva vs Puente Genil?

Lorca Deportiva 1-0 Puente Genil in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lorca Deportiva vs Puente Genil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lorca Deportiva win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lorca Deportiva 48%, draw 28%, Puente Genil 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorca Deportiva), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lorca Deportiva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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